Monday, November 10, 2014

The Concept of Rationality in International Relations

The concept of rationality often arises when discussing mutually assured destruction and the use of nuclear weapons. For class, we read two differing opinions on whether Iran should have weapons of mass destruction, and if Iran’s possession of nuclear weapons would stabilize the Middle East. I think that the possession of nuclear weapons has provided a peaceful situation in much of the world, but this is only because rational states are those that are in possession of the weapons. Recently, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei tweeted about the annihilation of the state of Israel (as published in the Jerusalem Post), an action that I think further proves that Iran is an irrational state and should therefore not be in possession of nuclear weapons.
An interesting phenomenon that has occurred is that there has been no nuclear war, regardless of the fact that there are nuclear weapons in the world. I think that it is possible for nuclear weapons to create peace, because they do act as a deterrent. While the Cold War was an unpleasant time in history, it did not actually lead to fighting or the death of thousands of people that is normally characteristic of war. However, I think that the present situation of nuclear weapons acting as a deterrent is only because rational states are in possession of the weapons of mass destruction. These states understand that the purpose of nuclear weapons is to act as a deterrent, and not to be used as a weapon.
The argument that rational states can responsibly posses nuclear weapons also supports why Iran should not. Iran is not a rational state, as can be seen by the recent tweet by Iran’s Supreme Leader. On November 8th, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei tweeted “This barbaric, wolflike & infanticidal regime of #Israel which spares no crime has no cure but to be annihilated” (Jerusalem Post). As a highly ranked official in Iran, Khamenei’s actions represent the government and the irrationality that characterizes it. If Iran were to possess nuclear weapons, I believe that they would not use them as a deterrent as the rest of the world has done. Rather, I think they would actually use them as a weapon, specifically against Israel. Some may argue that there is currently no stability in the Middle East because Israel is a regional hegemon due to their sole possession of nuclear weapons. The same people would argue that Iran’s possession of nuclear weapons would therefore provide stability to the Middle East, because there would be two powerful states in the region to balance each other out. However, I think that this would not be the case, because Iran is not a rational state like Israel, as can be seen from Khamenei’s tweet.

The Jerusalem Post article also brings up another situation in which Iran’s rationality must be questioned. The article mentions that President Obama recently sent a letter to Khamenei to suggest cooperating in the fight against ISIS. After that, however, Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman stated, “Iran should not be included in any coalition that is formed to fight Islamic State.” If Iran was a rational state that the United States could trust, I don’t think that Foreign Minister Lieberman would have made this comment. It is Iran’s rationality that calls into question how reliable they will be as an ally in the fight against ISIS. Ultimately, a country’s rationality does not only play into whether they should have nuclear weapons, but also whether or not they should be used as allies for a common goal.

Source: http://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Khamenei-on-Twitter-No-cure-for-barbaric-Israeli-regime-but-to-be-annihilated-381215

4 comments:

  1. Hey Elana I really enjoyed your article and showed how Iran is an irrational actor. I think an interesting counter argument to your post is that what Iran states is simply bluster and does not actually effect their policy decisions. Addressing the ISIS problem Iran is actually helping the Iraqi army quite a bit by giving them supplies and soldiers. While they do not want to be associated with the U.S they know what threat ISIS poses to them.

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    1. Along these lines, Kruschev did the same thing towards the US (even banging his show on a podium during a speech) and we all know the Kims of North Korea have said similar things. Heck, Eisenhower repeatedly insisted that the US could and would use smaller nukes in military conflicts.

      So the question is why is Iran irrational from what they said? Could they be bluffing? Could it just be that when the chips are down they will back down since they don't want to be on the receiving end of Israeli and US nukes?

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  2. Your counterargument is a very good point. However, I wonder how much of a chance the US is willing to take on the matter. It is definitely possible that what Iran says is simply bluster, but if it turn out that it's not, the United States could be in trouble. Nevertheless, I think that your point about Iran helping the Iraqi army in the fight against ISIS is interesting, and it brings a different lens to the argument - who decides which countries are considered rational? Iran may be irrational according to the U.S., but according to another country Iran may be seen as rational.

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    1. great point about rationality here. I wouldn't mind you thinking this through a bit as regards your own piece. By what standard of rationality are you judging Iran?

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